Player Intelligence
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL · latest opponent JAX
ESTABLISHED PRODUCER
—Breakout Sauce
82Confidence
N/AMarket Edge
52Live Signal
43Legacy Breakout
Market Edge
How early is Secret Sauce versus the market?
N/A
Why the model noticed
Role and opportunity are broadly stable versus the recent baseline.
What could go wrong
Playing-time floor is not yet secure.
Weekly Trend
Opportunity and production by week
W2
Snap53%
Targets3
Carries16
Target share10%
Rush share73%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR17.7
W3
Snap67%
Targets1
Carries26
Target share5%
Rush share68%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR21.9
W4
Snap62%
Targets2
Carries23
Target share7%
Rush share77%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR15.9
W5
Snap55%
Targets2
Carries24
Target share6%
Rush share69%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR21.0
W6
Snap58%
Targets1
Carries17
Target share3%
Rush share74%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR5.0
W7
Snap51%
Targets2
Carries17
Target share6%
Rush share63%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR5.9
W8
Snap45%
Targets2
Carries11
Target share8%
Rush share58%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR14.0
W9
Snap50%
Targets0
Carries17
Target share0%
Rush share50%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR5.6
| Week | Opp | Snap | Targets | Tgt Share | Carries | Rush Share | RZ Work | Depth | Rec | Rec Yds | Rush Yds | Pass Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | NO | 53% | 3 | 10% | 16 | 73% | 0 | — | 3 | 19 | 68 | 0 | 17.7 |
| W3 | DAL | 67% | 1 | 5% | 26 | 68% | 0 | — | 1 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 21.9 |
| W4 | TEN | 62% | 2 | 7% | 23 | 77% | 0 | — | 2 | 6 | 73 | 0 | 15.9 |
| W5 | ATL | 55% | 2 | 6% | 24 | 69% | 0 | — | 1 | 18 | 102 | 0 | 21.0 |
| W6 | CLE | 58% | 1 | 3% | 17 | 74% | 0 | — | 1 | 2 | 58 | 0 | 5.0 |
| W7 | CIN | 51% | 2 | 6% | 17 | 63% | 0 | — | 1 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 5.9 |
| W8 | BUF | 45% | 2 | 8% | 11 | 58% | 0 | — | 2 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 14.0 |
| W9 | JAX | 50% | 0 | 0% | 17 | 50% | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 57 | -3 | 5.6 |
Breakout Sauce is the calibrated probability of a qualifying breakout within the next two actual games. Market Edge is kept separate and only displays a number when the required market data is verified. Its underlying signals, thresholds and weights remain proprietary. Market data powered by Tradyr.