Player Intelligence
Aaron Jones
RB · MIN · latest opponent DET
ESTABLISHED PRODUCER
—Breakout Sauce
82Confidence
N/AMarket Edge
38Live Signal
24Legacy Breakout
Market Edge
How early is Secret Sauce versus the market?
N/A
Why the model noticed
Role and opportunity are broadly stable versus the recent baseline.
What could go wrong
Playing-time floor is not yet secure.
Weekly Trend
Opportunity and production by week
W1
Snap46%
Targets1
Carries12
Target share4%
Rush share35%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR10.0
W2
Snap81%
Targets0
Carries23
Target share0%
Rush share82%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR10.5
W3
Snap80%
Targets6
Carries17
Target share24%
Rush share74%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR14.2
W4
Snap73%
Targets8
Carries20
Target share24%
Rush share65%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR16.8
W5
Snap87%
Targets3
Carries25
Target share10%
Rush share69%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR18.7
W7
Snap25%
Targets1
Carries8
Target share4%
Rush share28%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR3.6
W8
Snap40%
Targets2
Carries5
Target share7%
Rush share28%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR6.0
| Week | Opp | Snap | Targets | Tgt Share | Carries | Rush Share | RZ Work | Depth | Rec | Rec Yds | Rush Yds | Pass Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | GB | 46% | 1 | 4% | 12 | 35% | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.0 |
| W2 | CHI | 81% | 0 | 0% | 23 | 82% | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 105 | 0 | 10.5 |
| W3 | TB | 80% | 6 | 24% | 17 | 74% | 0 | — | 5 | 34 | 58 | 0 | 14.2 |
| W4 | MIA | 73% | 8 | 24% | 20 | 65% | 0 | — | 4 | 34 | 94 | 0 | 16.8 |
| W5 | NO | 87% | 3 | 10% | 25 | 69% | 0 | — | 3 | 4 | 113 | 0 | 18.7 |
| W7 | IND | 25% | 1 | 4% | 8 | 28% | 0 | — | 1 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 3.6 |
| W8 | DET | 40% | 2 | 7% | 5 | 28% | 0 | — | 2 | 18 | 22 | 0 | 6.0 |
Breakout Sauce is the calibrated probability of a qualifying breakout within the next two actual games. Market Edge is kept separate and only displays a number when the required market data is verified. Its underlying signals, thresholds and weights remain proprietary. Market data powered by Tradyr.