Player Intelligence
Patrick Mahomes
QB · KC · latest opponent DEN
ESTABLISHED PRODUCER
—Breakout Sauce
82Confidence
N/AMarket Edge
63Live Signal
64Legacy Breakout
Market Edge
How early is Secret Sauce versus the market?
N/A
Why the model noticed
Current role and opportunity profile score above the early-warning threshold.
What could go wrong
Role can still change with game script, health and depth-chart movement.
Weekly Trend
Opportunity and production by week
W1
Snap100%
Targets0
Carries7
Target share0%
Rush share18%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR21.7
W2
Snap100%
Targets0
Carries2
Target share0%
Rush share7%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR29.0
W3
Snap100%
Targets0
Carries1
Target share0%
Rush share4%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR15.9
W4
Snap100%
Targets0
Carries2
Target share0%
Rush share8%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR17.0
W6
Snap100%
Targets0
Carries5
Target share0%
Rush share19%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR10.5
W7
Snap100%
Targets0
Carries2
Target share0%
Rush share13%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR6.0
W8
Snap100%
Targets0
Carries2
Target share0%
Rush share8%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR25.4
| Week | Opp | Snap | Targets | Tgt Share | Carries | Rush Share | RZ Work | Depth | Rec | Rec Yds | Rush Yds | Pass Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | DEN | 100% | 0 | 0% | 7 | 18% | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 23 | 184 | 21.7 |
| W2 | IND | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 7% | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 17 | 382 | 29.0 |
| W3 | MIA | 100% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 15.9 |
| W4 | LV | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 8% | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 17.0 |
| W6 | LAC | 100% | 0 | 0% | 5 | 19% | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 16 | 272 | 10.5 |
| W7 | SEA | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 13% | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 14 | 165 | 6.0 |
| W8 | DEN | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 8% | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 6 | 321 | 25.4 |
Breakout Sauce is the calibrated probability of a qualifying breakout within the next two actual games. Market Edge is kept separate and only displays a number when the required market data is verified. Its underlying signals, thresholds and weights remain proprietary. Market data powered by Tradyr.