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Player Intelligence

DK Metcalf

WR · PIT · latest opponent CLE
ESTABLISHED PRODUCER
—Breakout Sauce
82Confidence
N/AMarket Edge
77Live Signal
70Legacy Breakout
Market Edge

How early is Secret Sauce versus the market?

N/A

Market Edge is not scored for players outside the current Breakout Sauce probability pool.

Why the model noticed

Opportunity is running ahead of fantasy production.

What could go wrong

Role can still change with game script, health and depth-chart movement.

Weekly Trend

Opportunity and production by week

W1
Snap96%
Targets10
Carries0
Target share27%
Rush share0%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR8.0
W2
Snap97%
Targets9
Carries0
Target share24%
Rush share0%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR6.7
W3
Snap95%
Targets5
Carries0
Target share16%
Rush share0%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR12.1
W4
Snap97%
Targets9
Carries0
Target share23%
Rush share0%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR16.5
W5
Snap92%
Targets4
Carries1
Target share13%
Rush share5%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR5.3
W6
Snap95%
Targets15
Carries0
Target share34%
Rush share0%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR20.3
W7
Snap92%
Targets6
Carries0
Target share21%
Rush share0%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR7.6
W8
Snap92%
Targets6
Carries0
Target share27%
Rush share0%
Red-zone work0
Depth role—
PPR1.4
WeekOppSnapTargetsTgt ShareCarriesRush ShareRZ WorkDepthRecRec YdsRush YdsPass YdsPPR
W1ATL96%1027%00%0—440008.0
W2NE97%924%00%0—427006.7
W3CIN95%516%00%0—3310012.1
W4CLE97%923%00%0—51150016.5
W5IND92%413%15%0—3121105.3
W6TB95%1534%00%0—11930020.3
W7NO92%621%00%0—256007.6
W8CLE92%627%00%0—14001.4
Breakout Sauce is the calibrated probability of a qualifying breakout within the next two actual games. Market Edge is kept separate and only displays a number when the required market data is verified. Its underlying signals, thresholds and weights remain proprietary. Market data powered by Tradyr.